April 16, 2008

Ottawa @ Pittsburgh

That was easy...

Game 1:47.510001.494.7
Game 2:57.687.032.394.7
Game 3:44.495.812.490.9
Game 4:33.390.911.193.9
Series [4-0]1622.893.157.293.9

Ottawa has one thing going for it after game 1, Gerber appears able to play in the playoffs and do well. He may have allowed 4 goals on 35 shots, but most of the shots were of the good quality type.

Both teams average 3 goals for and 3 goals against, which suggests a high scoring series. Neither team has stellar goaltending either. This is Crosby's second playoff experience so I expect it to be better than the last one. Ottawa hasn't won a regulation game against Pittsburgh. This should be an entertaining series to say the least, and I wouldn't expect a short series.

Even Strength
Power Play

The winner column displays the dominant team in that category. The more pictures of the team's logo the more dominant the team is in that category

All the non-percentage numbers are scoring rates. For example on the first row, the Pittsburgh Penguins have an even strength scoring rate of 2.52 goal for per hour. [GF = goals for, GA = goals against Exx = expected xx, SV% = shot quality neutral save percentage].

In the power play section in order to calculate the expected scoring rates I multiplied the goals for rate of one team and the goals against rate of the other and divide by the league average in order to get the expected rate for these two teams combined. So for example, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a power play goals for rate of 7.36 and the Ottawa Senators have a penalty killing goals against rate of 6.91. So 7.36*6.91/6.5=7.83 [league average is 6.5].

Outperforming expected goals for is a sign of a lucky team. Outperforming expected goals against is a sign of either a good goaltender or luck as well.

Each category listed has a different importance to winning, so be careful how you read these. Being able to score short-handed isn't going to win a lot of hockey games.

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