April 20, 2008

Nashville @ Detroit

Lidstrom certainly has a great shot.

Game 1:34.387.810.895.4
Game 2:46.288.521.793.7
Game 3:33.679.451.991.8
Game 4:22.992.533.993.2
Game 5:28.287.810.897.6
Game 6:34.910001.196.0
Series [4-2]1730.189.41210.295.1

As you can see on the left there Detroit has manged a stellar 2.0 GA per game vs. playoff opponents this season. I'm generally not a big fan of Detroit's goaltending, but in the more difficult games of the season it has come up with decent performances. As you can see below Nashville only performed slightly better in net than Detroit. Nashville has had a reasonable amount of success against Detroit this season. I'm not all that interested in this series as I see very little possibility for Nashville to beat Detroit in the 7-game series.

Even Strength
Power Play

The winner column displays the dominant team in that category. The more pictures of the team's logo the more dominant the team is in that category

All the non-percentage numbers are scoring rates. For example on the first row, the Detroit Red Wings have an even strength scoring rate of 2.66 goal for per hour. [GF = goals for, GA = goals against Exx = expected xx, SV% = shot quality neutral save percentage].

In the power play section in order to calculate the expected scoring rates I multiplied the goals for rate of one team and the goals against rate of the other and divide by the league average in order to get the expected rate for these two teams combined. So for example, the Detroit Red Wings have a power play goals for rate of 7.87 and the Nashville Predators have a penalty killing goals against rate of 5.35. So 7.87*5.35/6.5=6.48 [league average is 6.5].

Outperforming expected goals for is a sign of a lucky team. Outperforming expected goals against is a sign of either a good goaltender or luck as well.

Each category listed has a different importance to winning, so be careful how you read these. Being able to score short-handed isn't going to win a lot of hockey games.

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