May 2, 2008

Rangers @ Pennsylvania

Game 1:53.386.042.885.2
Game 2:23.410001.797.1
Game 3:53.188.732.684.2
Game 4:01.895.934.8100
Series [3-1]1211.692.61011.990.7

Cant ever complain about another inter-divisional matchup. The season series was split and this should set this up as a great series. New York should give Pittsburgh a much bigger hand full than the team that decided they no longer wanted to play hockey any more. The table above might give the impression New York has better goaltending, but it's probably evenly matched up there. I'm not sure that New York can keep up with Pittsburgh's offense though.

Even Strength
Power Play

The winner column displays the dominant team in that category. The more pictures of the team's logo the more dominant the team is in that category

All the non-percentage numbers are scoring rates. For example on the first row, the Pittsburgh Penguins have an even strength scoring rate of 2.52 goal for per hour. [GF = goals for, GA = goals against Exx = expected xx, SV% = shot quality neutral save percentage].

In the power play section in order to calculate the expected scoring rates I multiplied the goals for rate of one team and the goals against rate of the other and divide by the league average in order to get the expected rate for these two teams combined. So for example, the Pittsburgh Penguins have a power play goals for rate of 7.36 and the New York Rangers have a penalty killing goals against rate of 5.79. So 7.36*5.79/6.5=6.56 [league average is 6.5].

Outperforming expected goals for is a sign of a lucky team. Outperforming expected goals against is a sign of either a good goaltender or luck as well.

Each category listed has a different importance to winning, so be careful how you read these. Being able to score short-handed isn't going to win a lot of hockey games.

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