It's been a month
since I posted these and as always find the data interesting. For example Ottawa has very low CB and a high LW, which partially can explain (or be explained by) their big wins and big losses. Anaheim lost quite a bit of ground in the last month due to the injuries and their CB lost 6 points. A month ago I said Pittsburgh could be a dark horse in the playoffs, and now they've almost secured themselves a playoff spot and could start out on home ice. So without further ado here's the list:
N | name | W | L | T | ePTS | SW | TL | OL | LW | CB | 1 | ANA | 51 | 20 | 12 | 113 | 2.8 | 56% | 37% | 49% | 60% | 2 | N.J | 48 | 17 | 17 | 113 | 2.8 | 49% | 41% | 49% | 67% | 3 | NSH | 52 | 23 | 7 | 112 | 3.1 | 62% | 34% | 45% | 56% | 4 | DET | 53 | 23 | 6 | 112 | 2.7 | 55% | 41% | 58% | 60% | 5 | BUF | 48 | 19 | 15 | 111 | 3.2 | 49% | 42% | 46% | 69% | 6 | S.J | 53 | 28 | 1 | 107 | 2.6 | 53% | 46% | 66% | 59% | 7 | DAL | 47 | 24 | 11 | 105 | 2.6 | 46% | 46% | 57% | 59% | 8 | VAN | 45 | 28 | 9 | 100 | 2.7 | 52% | 42% | 50% | 51% | 9 | CGY | 46 | 29 | 7 | 99 | 2.6 | 52% | 43% | 53% | 51% | 10 | MIN | 39 | 24 | 19 | 98 | 2.9 | 43% | 46% | 44% | 59% | 11 | PIT | 42 | 26 | 13 | 98 | 3.6 | 50% | 44% | 38% | 63% | 12 | MTL | 42 | 28 | 13 | 96 | 3.0 | 43% | 49% | 48% | 61% | 13 | OTT | 46 | 33 | 3 | 96 | 2.3 | 53% | 45% | 62% | 44% | 14 | CAR | 42 | 34 | 6 | 90 | 2.8 | 47% | 49% | 52% | 54% | 15 | T.B | 39 | 31 | 11 | 90 | 3.3 | 47% | 47% | 41% | 58% | 16 | TOR | 39 | 32 | 10 | 89 | 3.1 | 49% | 45% | 42% | 52% | 17 | ATL | 38 | 31 | 13 | 89 | 3.4 | 47% | 47% | 39% | 58% | 18 | EDM | 42 | 36 | 4 | 88 | 2.6 | 50% | 47% | 52% | 46% | 19 | NYI | 38 | 33 | 12 | 87 | 2.9 | 45% | 48% | 44% | 52% | 20 | NYR | 37 | 35 | 10 | 84 | 3.1 | 47% | 47% | 40% | 50% | 21 | WSH | 36 | 35 | 10 | 83 | 2.7 | 42% | 52% | 49% | 50% | 22 | COL | 36 | 37 | 9 | 82 | 3.5 | 49% | 46% | 36% | 53% | 23 | BOS | 33 | 33 | 16 | 82 | 3.6 | 47% | 45% | 31% | 54% | 24 | CHI | 34 | 38 | 10 | 78 | 2.9 | 42% | 51% | 42% | 50% | 25 | FLA | 34 | 39 | 9 | 77 | 2.9 | 38% | 57% | 48% | 54% | 26 | PHX | 34 | 40 | 9 | 76 | 2.8 | 38% | 56% | 48% | 52% | 27 | STL | 31 | 39 | 12 | 74 | 3.3 | 39% | 54% | 37% | 55% | 28 | CBJ | 33 | 42 | 8 | 73 | 2.6 | 43% | 52% | 45% | 43% | 29 | L.A | 27 | 46 | 9 | 63 | 3.2 | 38% | 57% | 36% | 50% | 30 | PHI | 22 | 50 | 9 | 54 | 3.5 | 41% | 54% | 26% | 46% |
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W - wins, L - losses, T - ties (for 82 game season) - estimated using simulation.
PTS - expected points using this method.
SW - average score switching - high numbers likely indicate difficulty maintaining a lead (bad defense/goaltending)
TL - Percentage the team takes lead.
OL - Percentage the opposition takes lead.
LW - Percentage the lead results in win. (otherwise it is tied again).
CB - Percentage of come backs - # of times team re-ties game. (otherwise opposition wins).
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