February 13, 2007

Frequency Stadings Update

It's been a month since I posted these and as always find the data interesting. For example Ottawa has very low CB and a high LW, which partially can explain (or be explained by) their big wins and big losses. Anaheim lost quite a bit of ground in the last month due to the injuries and their CB lost 6 points. A month ago I said Pittsburgh could be a dark horse in the playoffs, and now they've almost secured themselves a playoff spot and could start out on home ice. So without further ado here's the list:
NnameWLTePTSSWTLOLLWCB
1ANA5120121132.856%37%49%60%
2N.J4817171132.849%41%49%67%
3NSH522371123.162%34%45%56%
4DET532361122.755%41%58%60%
5BUF4819151113.249%42%46%69%
6S.J532811072.653%46%66%59%
7DAL4724111052.646%46%57%59%
8VAN452891002.752%42%50%51%
9CGY46297992.652%43%53%51%
10MIN392419982.943%46%44%59%
11PIT422613983.650%44%38%63%
12MTL422813963.043%49%48%61%
13OTT46333962.353%45%62%44%
14CAR42346902.847%49%52%54%
15T.B393111903.347%47%41%58%
16TOR393210893.149%45%42%52%
17ATL383113893.447%47%39%58%
18EDM42364882.650%47%52%46%
19NYI383312872.945%48%44%52%
20NYR373510843.147%47%40%50%
21WSH363510832.742%52%49%50%
22COL36379823.549%46%36%53%
23BOS333316823.647%45%31%54%
24CHI343810782.942%51%42%50%
25FLA34399772.938%57%48%54%
26PHX34409762.838%56%48%52%
27STL313912743.339%54%37%55%
28CBJ33428732.643%52%45%43%
29L.A27469633.238%57%36%50%
30PHI22509543.541%54%26%46%


W - wins, L - losses, T - ties (for 82 game season) - estimated using simulation.
PTS - expected points using this method.
SW - average score switching - high numbers likely indicate difficulty maintaining a lead (bad defense/goaltending)
TL - Percentage the team takes lead.
OL - Percentage the opposition takes lead.
LW - Percentage the lead results in win. (otherwise it is tied again).
CB - Percentage of come backs - # of times team re-ties game. (otherwise opposition wins).

No comments: