Betting Rankings

N name BET 1 BUF 59.2% 2 OTT 57.4% 3 N.J 55.8% 4 ATL 54.5% 5 T.B 52.9% 6 CAR 52.4% 7 MTL 52.2% 8 PIT 51.0% 9 NYR 50.2% 10 TOR 50.0% 11 WSH 48.9% 12 NYI 46.4% 13 BOS 45.9% 14 FLA 44.6% 15 PHI 39.8%

N name BET 1 DET 60.3% 2 ANA 59.1% 3 NSH 58.5% 4 S.J 58.0% 5 DAL 55.4% 6 VAN 55.2% 7 CGY 54.9% 8 COL 52.2% 9 MIN 51.7% 10 EDM 50.3% 11 PHX 45.7% 12 STL 43.4% 13 CHI 42.9% 14 CBJ 42.1% 15 L.A 41.8%

Now these change a lot quicker than normal standings would. These come from BCLC - Oddset ratings and should be dated Saturday February 17, 2007. So they're already a little outdated. I did a regression and got a score for each team that's accurate by about 1%, based on the estimated winning percentage that would maximize BCLC revenue. It's not very often you see a regression as good as this one, although there were only about 40 degrees of freedom (30 variables to solve for). I'll see how this develops over time, but some people may find it interesting. If the ratings are off your expected percentages there is a chance you could make money betting on that team (expect Boston to make the playoffs, expect NYI to make playoffs). These are probably reasonably similar to other betting outlets, but I can't speak for them, it's enough work inputing information from one source. As an aside Oddset provides horrible return on bets I've basically determined it's impossible to consistently make money (your expected result has to differ by about 10% of their expectation - so if they say 50% you need to be confident it'll be 60% to make money).