So what is going on? Obviously luck plays a certain factor here, but I feel that one cannot look at the Senators performance without thinking, what might be causing. McHockey notes the terrible power play for the Senators. And Michael from LCS Hockey concludes that
Another way of looking at the above is a break down of the teams’ performance by period. If you look at it this way the team allowed only 1.7 goals against per hour in the first (and only 24.6 should per hour). So without further ado, here’s the table:
Before delving too much into the table above I should say that:
P stands for period.
S stands for shots
G for goals
EG expected goals – an average number of goals based on the quality of the shots, SQN% - is the save percentage of the goaltender if he saw average shots (scales out the fact the shots are easier or harder to stop).
Now SQN% per period is correct to about 3% so a difference of 1 or 2% is perfectly normal so the differences in scoring and goal tending per period could be just the result of error (randomness). So certainly the SQN% show that
The third period is really where the luck part strikes you, of course you can’t conclude whether this states their unlucky in the third or lucky in the first, but it’s probably a bit of both. It’s not like
Basically what’s the problem: