April 13, 2009
Playoff Push - Does the record from February 1st matter?
Mirtle has a post on how teams have done since February 1st. I thought I'd provide some additional information.
I would argue that the team's recent record is completely irrelevant. What matters most is how good they were for the entire season. The table above is hardly conclusive, I just took all the playoff teams that had a 60% or better record from February 1st on and looked at how they did. The table above is the result of looking at three seasons. You should notice that 2005-2006 didn't have any teams with 60% or better record from February on.
The table shows that these teams Won 2 series and Lost 5 (29%).