Note: Forwards (F): Pts = 82*Points/games played Defense (D): Pts = 82*1.7*Points/games played [Adjusted points to make them comparable to forwards]
SQN% = Shot Quality Neutral Save Percentage. Is simply a adjusted save percentage based on the difficulty of the shots faced. eg. Brodeur sees about 33% less PK time than most goalies and as a result faces easier shots on average so his save percentage will be higher.
Kesler Last season Philadelphia desperately chased after Kesler offering him a contract that was 60% larger than what the media reported the Canucks were offering him ($1.2M). Kesler likely would've signed for $1.5 million, but the stubborn Canucks refused to make any reasonable offers and ended up paying $1.9M
Vanek If you use the 60% figure as a reasonable approximation of what Buffalo was offering Vanek, it means that Buffalo was likely offering about $4.5 million to Vanek. Vanek insulted and frustrated by the offers Buffalo was giving him, signed with Edmonton at $50M over 7 years.
Compared to UFAs Now you have to remember that offer sheets are not comparable to UFA contracts as they include additional costs: draft picks. They are likely somewhere between 90-95% of what the same player would command as a UFA.
Value of RFAs In general RFAs sign for about 75% of their UFA value. The offers made to both Kesler and Vanek were probably closer to 50-60% of their true value. Making these offers significantly less than the 75% they were expecting. Making the offer sheets extremely attractive relative to their current situation. Basically these teams negotiated with these players in "bad faith" as a result they were left with a very large bill.
Conclusion Therefor these offer sheets are important to make sure that RFAs get fair deals and aren't cheated out of what they are worth.
The last week had a few big signings including Crosby ($45M/5 years), Shanahan resigned in New York. But the one that caught my attention the most was Bieksa ($11.25M/3 years). Now I know, as a resident of Vancouver, how popular this guy is. Bieksa spent years in the AHL only to be called up to replace Jovanovski and did a remarkable job. Now, after one complete NHL season he gets a salary that puts him in the top 15% of the league. That's a pretty rare accomplishment.
I like the offense Bieksa produces, but defensively Bieksa has been a bit poor. In terms of minuses per hour, Bieksa ranks: 24th out of 29 Vancouver players and 9th out of 11 defenseman (Coulombe and Tremblay were worse). And only Mitchell and Chouinard had worse penalty killing statistics than Bieksa. Bieksa has no playoff points in 9 games (although he didn't get much help from the forwards).
There are 31 (out of 190) defenseman who averaged 0.5 points per game or greater in the last season (Bieksa had 0.515 points per game), so in terms of points Bieksa is in the top 15%, however if you consider that defensively he is worse than average his contract appears to be inflated. The whole beauty of a player like Bieksa is the fact that they generally cost about $2 million. For a team like Vancouver that buys to the cap, these little over expenditures could create a bit of a problem.
Secondly, it is often prudent to make sure the player can repeat the good performance before signing a reasonably large contract for 3 years.
These are my opinions of the good and bad signing in the past week (or so). Your opinions my vary and I'm not responsible for those. I did not include the "neutral" deals, meaning any deal that is within some reasonable bounds of my expected signing amount.
I like Preissing and so my opinion here is only slightly biased.I never understood why San Jose felt that Mark Bell would help the team win as well as Preissing does (turns out Bell kind of sucks…).In all three NHL seasons Preissing has not been a negative player and this past year he was +40 tied with Lidstrom and ranked 3rd in the NHL.Now Preissing, didn’t get the 20+ minutes you’d expect from a top defenseman, but he did get 20+ minutes in 2005-2006 with San Jose and did just fine.My numbers have Pressing worth about $5.3M and getting $2.75M is basically 50%.It however doesn’t surprise me the NHL generally underpays small “power play specialists”.
Backstrom is a goalie in his prime and averaged a 93% save percentage in Finland and was able to maintain that in the NHL in the short stint he managed to play for the Wild.In 31 games Backstrom made it obvious he was better than Fernandez.Obviously his lack of NHL experience is affecting his contract, but I’m surprised that he wouldn’t at least try to get a bigger contract from another NHL team.
Goalies are often argued to be under compensated by statistics junkies.Hasek is no exception, at 43 years of age he’s still able to be worth about $5 million, his $2 million dollar salary is a steal, but I’m sure playing for Detroit has some value to Hasek.
O’Donnel accepted a pay cut after a great season with Anaheim. And he just added a cup to his resume.$1.25 million is simply an embarrassment, but I guess this is a statement at how valuable Pronger really is.
$2.25 million for a “0.7 point per game” forward?That’s what Stumpel signed for.
Drury, the exact opposite situation as Stumpel: a “0.7 point per game” player for $7 million. Why not just sign Stumpel for $7 million instead (just kidding)?
The New York Rangers were also able to sign Gomez for $7.4 million; at least he’s a 0.8 point per game player, 27 and 5’11” (inch taller than Drury).
Handzus – $4 million for 4 years is a bad deal, that’s all…
Sarich - $3.6 million / year.Minus two seasons in a row.For a player who “owns a great point shot” his shooting percentage of 1.9% is an embarrassment.What is Calgary looking for here?Maybe someone wants to explain.
Lang, another “0.7 point per game” forward, getting a big contract of $4 million.