October 23, 2007

Early season expected-standings.

West
NameGDPCT
DET290.80
MIN150.72
STL100.63
CBJ70.59
CGY60.57
S.J40.56
DAL40.55
COL-10.48
VAN-30.46
PHX-30.45
ANA-100.37
CHI-140.34
L.A-130.33
NSH-130.31
EDM-250.20

East
NameGDPCT
OTT250.74
PHI130.69
CAR150.68
NYI110.64
BOS50.59
T.B60.58
MTL60.57
PIT30.53
BUF20.53
TOR-40.46
NYR-60.44
N.J-110.36
FLA-150.33
WSH-150.31
ATL-250.23

The above standings represent the expected winning percentage for each team based on the quality of shots for and against each team has had or generated. If a team has better than average goaltending then they should outperform the above predictions and if they have worse than average goaltending they should under perform the above expectations.

This does not account for strength of competition, but is simply calcualted by: EGF2/(EGF2+EGA2)
Where EGF = expected goals for, EGA = expected goals against.

This is posted mainly to show which teams may be higher ranked in the standings than they probably will do over the course of the season.

4 comments:

Earl Sleek said...

Any insight as to what is going into this or what the numbers are supposed to represent?

I'll say just at the start that the Sharks don't seem to pass the sniff test--they already have a GD of 4 and if they are indeed going to play in a pithy Pacific (as you seem to indicate) you'd think they might pick up some GD there.

Unless I'm completely misreading it.

JavaGeek said...

Thanks for pointing that out. What's there now should be a bit clearer...

Anonymous said...

It is interesting that, in the time since these figures were posted, the Islanders have been able to sustain they're numbers (i.e. significantly out-chancing the opposition at ES).

If Dipietro can regain last year's form, this team could be the Atlantic's best.

Anonymous said...

BTW, your statistics site is awesome.

Keep up the great work.