July 24, 2007

Northeast - offseason


Boston Bruins

Goaltending
T. Thomas
H. Toivonen

+ M. Fernandez [$4.7M]
Defenseman
Z. Chara
A. Alberts
- P. Mara [$2.4M]
- B. Stuart [$0.7M]
- uJ. York [$0.7M]
+ D. Wideman [$2.7M]
+ A. Ward [$0.3M]
+ A. Ference [$2.8M]
+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
M. Savard
P. Bergeron
G. Murray
M. Sturm
P. Kessel
P. Axelsson
M. Mowers
S. Chistov
- B. Boyes [$1.3M]
- S. Donovan [$1.8M]
- W. Primeau [$0.3M]
- uP. Tenkrat [$0.5M]
- uJ. Hoggan* [$0.5M]
+ P. Schaefer [$2.3M]
+ S. Thornton [$0.9M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $16.1M
- $8.2M
= $7.9M
Or 16 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Buffalo Sabres

Goaltending
R. Miller
- M. Biron [$-0.4M]
+ J. Thibault [$3.5M]
Defenseman
B. Campbell
T. Numminen
D. Kalinin
J. Spacek
T. Lydman
H. Tallinder
- uN. Paetsch* [$1.2M]

+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
T. Vanek
J. Pominville
M. Afinogenov
J. Hecht
A. Kotalik
D. Stafford
P. Gaustad
A. Mair
A. Peters
- D. Briere [$5.1M]
- C. Drury [$2.8M]
- uD. Roy* [$6M]
- J. Novotny [$0.3M]

+ 4 Replacement Forward(s) [$2M]
+ $6M
- $15.1M
= $-9.1M
Or -18 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Montreal Canadiens

Goaltending
C. Huet
J. Halak
- uD. Aebischer [$3.4M]

Defenseman
A. Markov
M. Streit
M. Komisarek
F. Bouillon
M. Dandenault
- S. Souray [$2.1M]
- C. Rivet [$0.7M]
- uJ. Niinimaa [$0M]
+ R. Hamrlik [$7.1M]
+ J. Gorges [$0.1M]
Forwards
S. Koivu
A. Kovalev
T. Plekanec
C. Higgins
G. Latendresse
M. Lapierre
S. Begin
G. Murray
- uM. Ryder* [$2.4M]
- uM. Johnson [$2.8M]
- S. Samsonov [$1.3M]
- R. Bonk [$1.9M]
- uA. Perezhogin* [$2.5M]
+ B. Smolinski [$3.6M]
+ T. Kostopoulos [$2.1M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $14.4M
- $17M
= $-2.7M
Or -5 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign


Ottawa Senators

Goaltending
R. Emery
M. Gerber


Defenseman
J. Corvo
W. Redden
A. Meszaros
C. Phillips
A. Volchenkov
- T. Preissing [$5.3M]
- uC. Schubert* [$2.5M]

+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
D. Heatley
D. Alfredsson
J. Spezza
M. Fisher
A. Vermette
P. Eaves
D. Mcammond
C. Neil
B. Mcgrattan
- P. Schaefer [$2.3M]
- uC. Kelly* [$2.7M]
- M. Comrie [$2.3M]
- uD. Hamel [$0.8M]
+ S. Donovan [$1.8M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $4.3M
- $16M
= $-11.7M
Or -23 Points
E - Signed in Europe
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign


Toronto Maple Leafs

Goaltending
A. Raycroft
- uJ. Aubin [$0.1M]
+ V. Toskala [$1.2M]
Defenseman
B. Mccabe
T. Kaberle
I. White
P. Kubina
H. Gill
C. Colaiacovo
W. Belak


Forwards
M. Sundin
A. Ponikarovsky
D. Tucker
K. Wellwood
M. Stajan
A. Steen
N. Antropov
J. Pohl
B. Battaglia
C. Kilger
- uJ. O'neill [$2.4M]
+ J. Blake [$3M]
+ M. Bell [$0.1M]
+ 1 Replacement Forward(s) [$0.5M]
+ $4.8M
- $2.5M
= $2.3M
Or 5 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign

Northwest - offseason


Vancouver Canucks

Goaltending
R. Luongo
- D. Sabourin [$0.5M]
+ C. Sanford [$1.4M]
Defenseman
K. Bieksa
S. Salo
M. Ohlund
L. Krajicek
W. Mitchell
- uR. Fitzpatrick [$2.9M]
+ A. Miller [$1.1M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
D. Sedin
H. Sedin
M. Naslund
B. Morrison
T. Pyatt
M. Cooke
R. Kesler
J. Cowan
A. Burrows
- uT. Linden [$1.8M]
- uJ. Bulis [$0.3M]
- uJ. Green [$2.2M]
- uM. Chouinard [$0.6M]
+ B. Ritchie [$0.9M]
+ R. Shannon [$0.8M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $5.7M
- $8.3M
= $-2.6M
Or -5 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign


Minnesota Wild

Goaltending
N. Backstrom
- M. Fernandez [$4.7M]

+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
B. Burns
K. Foster
K. Johnsson
P. Nummelin
K. Carney
M. Skoula
N. Schultz

+ S. Hill [$1M]
Forwards
B. Rolston
P. Demitra
M. Gaborik
P. Bouchard
M. Koivu
M. Parrish
W. Walz
B. Radivojevic
S. Veilleux
D. Boogaard
- T. White [$3.2M]
- P. Dupuis [$0.3M]
- uW. Smith [$0.2M]
+ E. Belanger [$1.8M]
+ D. Moore [$1.2M]
+ 1 Replacement Forward(s) [$0.5M]
+ $5M
- $8.4M
= $-3.4M
Or -7 Points
E - Signed in Europe
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign

Edmonton Oilers

Goaltending
D. Roloson
- uJ. Markkanen [$0.2M]
+ M. Garon [$1.5M]
Defenseman
S. Staios
M. Greene
L. Smid
- M. Bergeron [$3.6M]
- J. Smith [$2.3M]
+ S. Souray [$2.1M]
+ J. Pitkanen [$3M]
+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
A. Hemsky
S. Horcoff
J. Stoll
R. Torres
F. Pisani
M. Reasoner
P. Thoresen
M. Pouliot
- R. Smyth [$5.6M]
- P. Sykora [$1.6M]
- J. Lupul [$-0.1M]
- T. Petersen [$-0.1M]
- B. Winchester [$0.7M]
+ G. Sanderson [$1.7M]
+ 4 Replacement Forward(s) [$2M]
+ $11.3M
- $13.9M
= $-2.6M
Or -5 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Colorado Avalanche

Goaltending
P. Budaj
J. Theodore


Defenseman
J. Liles
B. Clark
K. Skrastins
K. Sauer
- K. Klee [$3.6M]
- uO. Vaananen [$2.2M]
+ S. Hannan [$3.4M]
+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
J. Sakic
A. Brunette
P. Stastny
M. Hejduk
W. Wolski
T. Arnason
M. Svatos
I. Laperriere
B. Richardson
M. Rycroft
- B. Mclean [$2.6M]
- uA. Laaksonen [$0.7M]
+ R. Smyth [$5.6M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $11M
- $9.2M
= $1.9M
Or 4 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Calgary Flames

Goaltending
M. Kiprusoff
- uJ. Mclennan [$0.4M]

+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
D. Phaneuf
R. Regehr
R. Warrener
- R. Hamrlik [$7.1M]
- uM. Giordano* [$1.3M]
- A. Ference [$2.8M]
- A. Zyuzin [$0.3M]
+ A. Eriksson [$3.7M]
+ A. Aucoin [$-0.4M]
+ C. Sarich [$2.1M]
+ D. Hale [$0.6M]
Forwards
J. Iginla
A. Tanguay
K. Huselius
D. Langkow
M. Lombardi
S. Yelle
D. Moss
M. Nilson
- uT. Amonte [$0M]
- B. Ritchie [$0.9M]
- uJ. Friesen [$1.2M]
+ O. Nolan [$2.7M]
+ C. Conroy [$2M]
+ W. Primeau [$0.3M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $12.5M
- $13.9M
= $-1.4M
Or -3 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign

July 19, 2007

Who's Left?

Skaters
NILastnameGPMinPtsPAge
1TSelanne821895F37
2PForsberg571879F33
3BSopel642061D30
4JHeward711747D36
5PBrisebois331946D36
6JO'neill741445F31
7MGelinas821344F37
8ELindros491542F34
9RRobitaille781442F31
10ASutton551941D32
11DTanabe601839D26
12ACarter641436F33
13GMetropolit771235F33
14MPeca351735F33
15JKwiatkowski411034D30
16DMarkov661934D31
17JRoenick701433F37
18CSimon671133F35
19MWeaver391532D29
20MJohnson801532F32
21PBondra371231F39
22MSmith411026F29
23TLinden801226F37
24JMelichar701924D28
25JYork491323D37
26AAsham80923F29
27PStefan411222F26
28PTenkrat641318F30
29MHolmqvist631417F28
30RFitzpatrick581417D32
31RPetrovicky31816F30
32MBarnaby39815F34
33JDipenta761215D28
34OVaananen741415D26
35JVigier721115F30
36JFriesen721214F30
37NPratt811614D31
38DHamel54612F30
39JKlemm381311D37
40ERasmussen71910F30
41JGreen571110F29
42JDowd66810F38
43TTaylor7187F38
44JLangfeld3365F30

Note:
Forwards (F): Pts = 82*Points/games played
Defense (D): Pts = 82*1.7*Points/games played [Adjusted points to make them comparable to forwards]

Goalies
NILastnameShotsSv%SQN%Age
1EBelfour155090.290.442
2CJoseph148189.390.440
3AAuld72988.889.926
4SBurke68790.191.340
5MDunham54089.191.035
6REsche46587.588.229
7JMarkkanen45788.689.232
8BBoucher38888.489.830
9JAubin36087.589.030
10JMclennan30489.589.336
SQN% = Shot Quality Neutral Save Percentage. Is simply a adjusted save percentage based on the difficulty of the shots faced. eg. Brodeur sees about 33% less PK time than most goalies and as a result faces easier shots on average so his save percentage will be higher.

July 18, 2007

Southeast - offseason


Atlanta Thrashers

Goaltending
K. Lehtonen
J. Hedberg


Defenseman
N. Havelid
S. Mccarthy
G. Exelby
- G. De vries [$2.4M]
- uA. Sutton [$2.5M]
- S. Hnidy [$2.4M]
- V. Vishnevski [$2M]
+ K. Klee [$3.6M]
+ 3 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1.5M]
Forwards
M. Hossa
V. Kozlov
I. Kovalchuk
S. Mellanby
B. Holik
S. Rucchin
B. Larsen
E. Boulton
- J. Sim [$1.1M]
- uG. Metropolit [$1.9M]
- uJ. Slater* [$1.6M]
- N. Kapanen [$-0.6M]
- uJ. Vigier [$1.6M]
+ T. White [$3.2M]
+ E. Perrin [$1.9M]
+ P. Dupuis [$0.3M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $11.5M
- $15M
= $-3.5M
Or -7 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Carolina Hurricanes

Goaltending
C. Ward
J. Grahame


Defenseman
M. Commodore
G. Wesley
N. Wallin
B. Hedican
T. Gleason
- uD. Tanabe [$2.5M]
- uA. Babchuk* [$1.3M]
- A. Hutchinson [$1.5M]

+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
R. Whitney
R. Brind'amour
E. Staal
J. Williams
E. Cole
S. Walker
C. Stillman
A. Ladd
C. Larose
C. Adams
T. Letowski
- E. Belanger [$1.8M]
+ M. Cullen [$2.2M]
+ J. Hamilton [$2.4M]
+ $5.6M
- $7.1M
= $-1.5M
Or -3 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Florida Panthers

Goaltending

- uE. Belfour [$3.5M]
- uA. Auld [$1.1M]
+ T. Vokoun [$7.2M]
+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
J. Bouwmeester
R. Salei
M. Van ryn
B. Allen
B. Mezei
- uJ. Kwiatkowski [$1.1M]
- uS. Montador* [$1.3M]

+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
O. Jokinen
N. Horton
J. Stumpel
V. Peltonen
R. Olesz
D. Booth
G. Campbell
- uS. Weiss* [$3M]
- uM. Gelinas [$2.9M]
- C. Gratton [$1.3M]
- G. Roberts [$3M]
- uJ. Kolnik* [$1.6M]
+ R. Dvorak [$1.2M]
+ B. Mclean [$2.6M]
+ 4 Replacement Forward(s) [$2M]
+ $14.5M
- $18.9M
= $-4.4M
Or -9 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Tampa Bay Lightning

Goaltending
J. Holmqvist
M. Denis


Defenseman
D. Boyle
F. Kuba
P. Ranger
- C. Sarich [$2.1M]
- uD. Janik* [$1.8M]
- uN. Pratt [$2.5M]
+ S. O'brien [$1.6M]
+ B. Lukowich [$1.5M]
+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
V. Lecavalier
M. St. louis
B. Richards
V. Prospal
A. Karlsson
N. Tarnasky
A. Roy
- E. Perrin [$1.9M]
- R. Fedotenko [$3.1M]
- uR. Craig* [$1.3M]
- uN. Alexeev* [$2.9M]
- uT. Taylor [$0.9M]
+ M. Ouellet [$1.7M]
+ C. Gratton [$1.3M]
+ J. Ward [$2.1M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $10.7M
- $16.4M
= $-5.8M
Or -12 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Washington Capitals

Goaltending
O. Kolzig
B. Johnson


Defenseman
B. Pothier
S. Eminger
S. Morrisonn
- uJ. Heward [$3.1M]
- M. Green [$1.1M]
+ T. Poti [$2.2M]
+ 3 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1.5M]
Forwards
A. Ovechkin
A. Semin
C. Clark
M. Pettinger
B. Gordon
B. Clymer
B. Sutherby
M. Bradley
D. Brashear
- D. Zubrus [$2.9M]
- uK. Beech* [$1.2M]
- uB. Laich* [$0.9M]
- uJ. Klepis* [$1.2M]
+ M. Nylander [$4.8M]
+ V. Kozlov [$3.1M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $12.6M
- $10.4M
= $2.2M
Or 4 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign

Atlantic - offseason


New Jersey Devils

Goaltending
M. Brodeur
+ K. Weekes [$0.6M]
Defenseman
J. Oduya
C. White
- B. Rafalski [$4.8M]
- uP. Martin* [$1.9M]
- B. Lukowich [$1.5M]
- D. Hale [$0.6M]
+ K. Rachunek [$2.2M]
+ V. Vishnevski [$2M]
+ 3 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1.5M]
Forwards
P. Elias
J. Langenbrunner
B. Gionta
T. Zajac
S. Brylin
J. Madden
J. Pandolfo
M. Rupp
C. Janssen
- uZ. Parise* [$3.4M]
- S. Gomez [$4.2M]
- uE. Rasmussen [$0.7M]
- uJ. Dowd [$1.4M]
+ D. Zubrus [$2.9M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $10.6M
- $18.5M
= $-7.9M
Or -16 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




New York Islanders

Goaltending
R. Dipietro
- uM. Dunham [$2.1M]
+ J. Macdonald [$0.5M]
Defenseman
R. Martinek
C. Campoli
B. Witt
B. Gervais
- T. Poti [$2.2M]
- S. Hill [$1M]
+ M. Bergeron [$3.6M]
+ A. Johnson [$1.1M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
M. Satan
M. Sillinger
A. Yashin
A. Hilbert
R. Park
S. Bates
- J. Blake [$3M]
- V. Kozlov [$3.1M]
- uT. Hunter* [$3.1M]
- uC. Simon [$2.2M]
- uR. Robitaille [$1.2M]
- uA. Asham [$1.2M]
+ B. Guerin [$2.8M]
+ R. Fedotenko [$3.1M]
+ J. Sim [$1.1M]
+ M. Comrie [$2.3M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $16.4M
- $19M
= $-2.7M
Or -5 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




New York Rangers

Goaltending
H. Lundqvist
- K. Weekes [$0.6M]
+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
M. Rozsival
M. Malik
F. Tyutin
T. Pock
- K. Rachunek [$2.2M]
- A. Ward [$0.3M]
+ P. Mara [$2.4M]
+ A. Hutchinson [$1.5M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
J. Jagr
M. Straka
B. Shanahan
P. Prucha
B. Betts
R. Hollweg
C. Orr
- M. Nylander [$4.8M]
- M. Cullen [$2.2M]
- uM. Hossa* [$1.6M]
- uA. Hall* [$0.1M]
- J. Ortmeyer [$1.9M]
- J. Ward [$2.1M]
+ C. Drury [$2.8M]
+ S. Gomez [$4.2M]
+ 4 Replacement Forward(s) [$2M]
+ $13.9M
- $15.7M
= $-1.8M
Or -4 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Philadelphia Flyers

Goaltending
A. Niittymaki
M. Biron
- uR. Esche [$-0.6M]
Defenseman
R. Jones
A. Picard
D. Hatcher
D. Gauthier
- J. Pitkanen [$3M]
+ K. Timonen [$5.1M]
+ L. Kukkonen [$2M]
+ J. Smith [$2.3M]
Forwards
S. Gagne
M. Knuble
J. Carter
M. Richards
R. Umberger
S. Kapanen
B. Eager
- G. Sanderson [$1.7M]
- K. Calder [$0.4M]
- uD. Afanasenkov* [$0.6M]
- T. Fedoruk [$0.9M]
+ D. Briere [$5.1M]
+ S. Hartnell [$2.8M]
+ J. Lupul [$-0.1M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $18.8M
- $5.9M
= $12.8M
Or 26 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Pittsburgh Penguins

Goaltending
M. Fleury
- J. Thibault [$3.5M]
+ D. Sabourin [$0.5M]
+ T. Conklin [$0.5M]
Defenseman
S. Gonchar
R. Whitney
R. Scuderi
B. Orpik
- uJ. Melichar [$1.1M]
- uA. Nasreddine [$2.6M]
+ D. Sydor [$1.1M]
+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
S. Crosby
E. Malkin
M. Recchi
J. Staal
C. Armstrong
E. Christensen
R. Malone
M. Talbot
J. Ruutu
- M. Ouellet [$1.7M]
- D. Moore [$1.2M]
+ P. Sykora [$1.6M]
+ G. Roberts [$3M]
+ G. Laraque [$2.5M]
+ 1 Replacement Forward(s) [$0.5M]
+ $10.7M
- $10.1M
= $0.6M
Or 1 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign

Central - offseason


St. Louis Blues

Goaltending
M. Legace
- C. Sanford [$1.4M]
- uJ. Bacashihua* [$1.6M]
+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
E. Brewer
B. Jackman
C. Backman
B. Salvador
- D. Wideman [$2.7M]
- uM. Walker* [$1.8M]
+ 3 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1.5M]
Forwards
D. Weight
L. Stempniak
P. Cajanek
K. Tkachuk
J. Mcclement
M. Rucinsky
D. Backes
J. Mayers
R. Johnson
D. Hinote
- B. Guerin [$2.8M]
- R. Dvorak [$1.2M]
- D. Drake [$-0.2M]
+ P. Kariya [$4.3M]
+ B. Boyes [$1.3M]
+ 1 Replacement Forward(s) [$0.5M]
+ $8.1M
- $11.1M
= $-3M
Or -6 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Nashville Predators

Goaltending
C. Mason
- T. Vokoun [$7.2M]
+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
S. Weber
M. Zidlicky
R. Suter
D. Hamhuis
G. Zanon
- K. Timonen [$5.1M]
+ G. De vries [$2.4M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
J. Dumont
D. Legwand
S. Sullivan
M. Erat
J. Arnott
A. Radulov
V. Fiddler
S. Nichol
J. Smithson
J. Tootoo
D. Hordichuk
- P. Kariya [$4.3M]
- S. Hartnell [$2.8M]
+ R. Bonk [$1.9M]
+ J. Ortmeyer [$1.9M]
+ $7.2M
- $19.5M
= $-12.3M
Or -25 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Detroit Red Wings

Goaltending
D. Hasek
C. Osgood
- J. Macdonald [$0.5M]
Defenseman
N. Lidstrom
N. Kronvall
B. Lebda
C. Chelios
A. Lilja
- M. Schneider [$4.7M]
- uD. Markov [$4.1M]
+ B. Rafalski [$4.8M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
P. Datsyuk
H. Zetterberg
T. Holmstrom
D. Cleary
M. Samuelsson
J. Franzen
K. Draper
J. Hudler
V. Filppula
K. Maltby
- R. Lang [$2.6M]
- J. Williams [$0.5M]
+ D. Drake [$-0.2M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $6.1M
- $12.3M
= $-6.3M
Or -13 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Columbus Blue Jackets

Goaltending
F. Norrena
P. Leclaire
- T. Conklin [$0.5M]
Defenseman
R. Hainsey
R. Klesla
A. Foote
O. Tollefsen
- A. Eriksson [$3.7M]
- A. Johnson [$1.1M]
+ 3 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1.5M]
Forwards
D. Vyborny
R. Nash
F. Modin
S. Fedorov
J. Chimera
N. Zherdev
D. Fritsche
M. Malhotra
G. Brule
A. Svitov
J. Shelley
- uA. Carter [$2.2M]
+ J. Novotny [$0.3M]
+ 1 Replacement Forward(s) [$0.5M]
+ $2.3M
- $7.4M
= $-5.1M
Or -10 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Chicago Blackhawks

Goaltending
N. Khabibulin
P. Lalime
- uB. Boucher [$0.7M]
Defenseman
D. Keith
B. Seabrook
J. Cullimore
J. Vandermeer
- A. Aucoin [$-0.4M]
- L. Kukkonen [$2M]
- uJ. Wisniewski* [$3.5M]
+ A. Zyuzin [$0.3M]
+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
M. Havlat
R. Vrbata
T. Ruutu
P. Sharp
M. Lapointe
T. Salmelainen
R. Bourque
- J. Hamilton [$2.4M]
- B. Smolinski [$3.6M]
- uD. Arkhipov [$1M]
- uM. Holmqvist [$1.2M]
+ R. Lang [$2.6M]
+ Y. Perreault [$1.9M]
+ S. Samsonov [$1.3M]
+ J. Williams [$0.5M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $8.6M
- $13.9M
= $-5.4M
Or -11 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign

July 16, 2007

Pacific - offseason


San Jose Sharks

Goaltending
E. Nabokov
- V. Toskala [$1.2M]
+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
M. Carle
C. Ehrhoff
M. Vlasic
K. Mclaren
- S. Hannan [$3.4M]
- J. Gorges [$0.1M]
+ C. Rivet [$0.7M]
+ 2 Replacement Defense player(s) [$1M]
Forwards
J. Thornton
P. Marleau
J. Cheechoo
M. Michalek
R. Clowe
M. Grier
S. Bernier
J. Pavelski
P. Rissmiller
C. Brown
M. Goc
- M. Bell [$0.1M]
- uM. Smith [$0.8M]
+ 2 Replacement Forward(s) [$1M]
+ $3.2M
- $5.5M
= $-2.3M
Or -5 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Phoenix Coyotes

Goaltending
M. Tellqvist
- uC. Joseph [$3.2M]
+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
Z. Michalek
E. Jovanovski
D. Morris
T. Roche
N. Boynton
M. Jones
- uK. Ballard* [$1.8M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
S. Doan
S. Reinprecht
M. Zigomanis
F. Sjostrom
D. Scatchard
J. Gratton
- L. Nagy [$2.8M]
- O. Nolan [$2.7M]
- uO. Saprykin* [$3.4M]
- Y. Perreault [$1.9M]
- uJ. Roenick [$0.7M]
- G. Laraque [$2.5M]
+ N. Kapanen [$-0.6M]
+ 6 Replacement Forward(s) [$3M]
+ $3.4M
- $19.1M
= $-15.7M
Or -31 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Los Angeles Kings

Goaltending
D. Cloutier
- M. Garon [$1.5M]
- uS. Burke [$3M]
- uB. Brust* [$0.9M]
+ 1 Replacement Goalie(s) [$0.5M]
Defenseman
L. Visnovsky
R. Blake
K. Dallman
- uB. Sopel [$3.6M]
- M. Norstrom [$0M]
- A. Miller [$1.1M]
+ T. Preissing [$5.3M]
+ B. Stuart [$0.7M]
+ J. Modry [$3.2M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
A. Frolov
A. Kopitar
D. Brown
D. Armstrong
B. Willsie
P. O'sullivan
S. Thornton
R. Ivanans
- uM. Cammalleri* [$4.5M]
- uS. Avery* [$2.9M]
- T. Kostopoulos [$2.1M]
- C. Conroy [$2M]
+ L. Nagy [$2.8M]
+ K. Calder [$0.4M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $14.9M
- $21.7M
= $-6.7M
Or -13 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Dallas Stars

Goaltending
M. Turco
M. Smith
Defenseman
S. Zubov
P. Boucher
S. Robidas
T. Daley
- D. Sydor [$1.1M]
- J. Modry [$3.2M]
+ M. Green [$1.1M]
+ M. Norstrom [$0M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
M. Ribeiro
J. Lehtinen
M. Modano
N. Hagman
J. Halpern
S. Barnes
L. Eriksson
- uJ. Jokinen* [$2.3M]
- uA. Miettinen* [$1.4M]
- uE. Lindros [$1.2M]
- uP. Stefan [$1.7M]
+ T. Petersen [$-0.1M]
+ T. Fedoruk [$0.9M]
+ B. Winchester [$0.7M]
+ 3 Replacement Forward(s) [$1.5M]
+ $4.7M
- $10.9M
= $-6.2M
Or -12 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign




Anaheim Ducks

Goaltending
J. Giguere
I. Bryzgalov
Defenseman
S. Niedermayer
C. Pronger
F. Beauchemin
S. O'donnell
- S. O'brien [$1.6M]
- uJ. Dipenta [$0.9M]
+ M. Schneider [$4.7M]
+ S. Hnidy [$2.4M]
+ 1 Replacement Defense player(s) [$0.5M]
Forwards
A. Mcdonald
C. Kunitz
R. Getzlaf
C. Perry
S. Pahlsson
T. Marchant
T. Moen
R. Niedermayer
- uT. Selanne [$6.2M]
- uD. Penner* [$1.6M]
- R. Shannon [$0.8M]
- S. Thornton [$0.9M]
+ 5 Replacement Forward(s) [$2.5M]
+ $10.1M
- $11.9M
= $-1.8M
Or -4 Points
u - Unsigned
* - Group II, likely to re-sign

July 12, 2007

RFA offer sheet

Kesler
Last season Philadelphia desperately chased after Kesler offering him a contract that was 60% larger than what the media reported the Canucks were offering him ($1.2M). Kesler likely would've signed for $1.5 million, but the stubborn Canucks refused to make any reasonable offers and ended up paying $1.9M

Vanek
If you use the 60% figure as a reasonable approximation of what Buffalo was offering Vanek, it means that Buffalo was likely offering about $4.5 million to Vanek. Vanek insulted and frustrated by the offers Buffalo was giving him, signed with Edmonton at $50M over 7 years.

Compared to UFAs
Now you have to remember that offer sheets are not comparable to UFA contracts as they include additional costs: draft picks. They are likely somewhere between 90-95% of what the same player would command as a UFA.

Value of RFAs
In general RFAs sign for about 75% of their UFA value. The offers made to both Kesler and Vanek were probably closer to 50-60% of their true value. Making these offers significantly less than the 75% they were expecting. Making the offer sheets extremely attractive relative to their current situation. Basically these teams negotiated with these players in "bad faith" as a result they were left with a very large bill.

Conclusion
Therefor these offer sheets are important to make sure that RFAs get fair deals and aren't cheated out of what they are worth.

July 10, 2007

Bieksa Signed

The last week had a few big signings including Crosby ($45M/5 years), Shanahan resigned in New York. But the one that caught my attention the most was Bieksa ($11.25M/3 years). Now I know, as a resident of Vancouver, how popular this guy is. Bieksa spent years in the AHL only to be called up to replace Jovanovski and did a remarkable job. Now, after one complete NHL season he gets a salary that puts him in the top 15% of the league. That's a pretty rare accomplishment.

I like the offense Bieksa produces, but defensively Bieksa has been a bit poor. In terms of minuses per hour, Bieksa ranks: 24th out of 29 Vancouver players and 9th out of 11 defenseman (Coulombe and Tremblay were worse). And only Mitchell and Chouinard had worse penalty killing statistics than Bieksa. Bieksa has no playoff points in 9 games (although he didn't get much help from the forwards).

There are 31 (out of 190) defenseman who averaged 0.5 points per game or greater in the last season (Bieksa had 0.515 points per game), so in terms of points Bieksa is in the top 15%, however if you consider that defensively he is worse than average his contract appears to be inflated. The whole beauty of a player like Bieksa is the fact that they generally cost about $2 million. For a team like Vancouver that buys to the cap, these little over expenditures could create a bit of a problem.

Secondly, it is often prudent to make sure the player can repeat the good performance before signing a reasonably large contract for 3 years.

July 8, 2007

UFA signings 2007

These are my opinions of the good and bad signing in the past week (or so). Your opinions my vary and I'm not responsible for those. I did not include the "neutral" deals, meaning any deal that is within some reasonable bounds of my expected signing amount.

Good Deals:

  1. I like Preissing and so my opinion here is only slightly biased. I never understood why San Jose felt that Mark Bell would help the team win as well as Preissing does (turns out Bell kind of sucks…). In all three NHL seasons Preissing has not been a negative player and this past year he was +40 tied with Lidstrom and ranked 3rd in the NHL. Now Preissing, didn’t get the 20+ minutes you’d expect from a top defenseman, but he did get 20+ minutes in 2005-2006 with San Jose and did just fine. My numbers have Pressing worth about $5.3M and getting $2.75M is basically 50%. It however doesn’t surprise me the NHL generally underpays small “power play specialists”.
  2. Backstrom is a goalie in his prime and averaged a 93% save percentage in Finland and was able to maintain that in the NHL in the short stint he managed to play for the Wild. In 31 games Backstrom made it obvious he was better than Fernandez. Obviously his lack of NHL experience is affecting his contract, but I’m surprised that he wouldn’t at least try to get a bigger contract from another NHL team.
  3. Goalies are often argued to be under compensated by statistics junkies. Hasek is no exception, at 43 years of age he’s still able to be worth about $5 million, his $2 million dollar salary is a steal, but I’m sure playing for Detroit has some value to Hasek.
  4. O’Donnel accepted a pay cut after a great season with Anaheim. And he just added a cup to his resume. $1.25 million is simply an embarrassment, but I guess this is a statement at how valuable Pronger really is.
  5. $2.25 million for a “0.7 point per game” forward? That’s what Stumpel signed for.

Bad Deals

  1. Drury, the exact opposite situation as Stumpel: a “0.7 point per game” player for $7 million. Why not just sign Stumpel for $7 million instead (just kidding)?
  2. The New York Rangers were also able to sign Gomez for $7.4 million; at least he’s a 0.8 point per game player, 27 and 5’11” (inch taller than Drury).
  3. Handzus – $4 million for 4 years is a bad deal, that’s all…
  4. Sarich - $3.6 million / year. Minus two seasons in a row. For a player who “owns a great point shot” his shooting percentage of 1.9% is an embarrassment. What is Calgary looking for here? Maybe someone wants to explain.
  5. Lang, another “0.7 point per game” forward, getting a big contract of $4 million.