tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post767718387967303102..comments2023-05-06T08:59:13.282-07:00Comments on Hockey Numbers: Average Predicted StandingsJavaGeekhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02529258432033746879noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-7749504395246274652007-12-01T21:07:00.000-08:002007-12-01T21:07:00.000-08:00Where's the rest of the goaltending reviews (Range...Where's the rest of the goaltending reviews (Rangers, Buffalo, Anahiem, Montreal, etc)?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-44812772286611132642007-10-11T12:40:00.000-07:002007-10-11T12:40:00.000-07:00I've actually got Anaheim in seventh, so I guess I...I've actually got Anaheim in seventh, so I guess I was way out to lunch.<BR/><BR/>Or not.James Mirtlehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11221488913251638181noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-59809795417600980212007-10-05T03:41:00.000-07:002007-10-05T03:41:00.000-07:00My picks have been up for a while West Conference ...My picks have been up for a while<BR/><A HREF="http://puckstopshere.blogspot.com/2007/09/predictions-west-conference.html" REL="nofollow"> West Conference</A> and <A HREF="http://puckstopshere.blogspot.com/2007/09/predictions-east-conference.html" REL="nofollow"> East Conference</A>.The Puck Stops Herehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12476848399356136470noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-71918340109374567962007-10-04T22:02:00.000-07:002007-10-04T22:02:00.000-07:00Oh and forechecker put up his picks.Oh and forechecker put up his picks.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-83530322889885638102007-10-04T21:49:00.000-07:002007-10-04T21:49:00.000-07:00StdDev works as a measure of spread for a distribu...StdDev works as a measure of spread for a distribution with normal error. The "odd" values you are seeing is because the values aren't normal. Your truncated at 1 and 15 to start with. The asymmetry of the distribution is causing the answer to unrepresentative of the values and their distribution.<BR/><BR/>I like your summary by the way; it's just not the way I would have chosen to present theAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-6659912602419938892007-10-04T19:34:00.000-07:002007-10-04T19:34:00.000-07:00"the variance is a way to capture its scale or deg..."the variance is a way to capture its scale or degree of being spread out"<BR/><BR/>This is exactly what I wanted. Also MySQL has a STDDEV function built in and basically I'm too lazy to do it any other way.<BR/><BR/>It's not meant to be precise or "correct" simply there to give an idea how much spread there is for each team (in comparison to other teams).<BR/><BR/>MIN/MAX: 1,8,8,8,8,15 is very JavaGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02529258432033746879noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-49102417842357011692007-10-04T12:50:00.000-07:002007-10-04T12:50:00.000-07:00I figured that but with the small sample size it b...I figured that but with the small sample size it becomes next to pointless to consider. Even just using high prediction, low prediction would get much of the point across. Or else use more predicted standings. I know there are more out there including my own.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-14612284537339417632007-10-04T10:33:00.000-07:002007-10-04T10:33:00.000-07:00Given the nature of the data wouldn't Tukey's 5 nu...Given the nature of the data wouldn't Tukey's 5 number summary or median, 2nd and 3rd quartile range have been a more reasonable summarization than StDev? And if your going to stick with normality a confidence interval. It depends on if your trying to show the variation or the confidence in the estimate (mean). In the end I think I would have gone for min, max and mean over mean and +/- one Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-51130271563221002762007-10-04T06:38:00.000-07:002007-10-04T06:38:00.000-07:00The L and U are based on standard deviations and w...The L and U are based on standard deviations and with only 6 predictions they become large very quickly.<BR/><BR/>If a team was only predicted to finish 7th and 8th (3 for each with an average of 7.5) would have a variance of 0.3 a standard deviation of 0.55 so the L = 7.5 + 0.55*2 = 8.6 and P = 7.5 - 0.55*2 = 6.4. No one picked 6 or 8, but the range still includes it.<BR/><BR/>With Phoenix, JavaGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02529258432033746879noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-68248690885354026412007-10-04T05:56:00.000-07:002007-10-04T05:56:00.000-07:00If no one predicted Phoenix to finish anywhere oth...If no one predicted Phoenix to finish anywhere other than 15th, how can Columbus, Chicago and Edmonton also have an L of 15? That doesn't make sense.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com