Hockey Numbers

Stanley Cup Final

2011-06-15T20:35:00.000-07:00

:( ! VAN BOS#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:13.110003.096.8Game 2:32.792.322.688.9Game 3:13.577.883.697.1Game 4:02.384.042.5100Game 5:12.010002.495.0Game 6:23.089.154.693.3Game 7:03.384.241.9100Series [3-4]819.989.32320.696.0 VANBOSWinnerEven StrengthGF2.712.8EGF2.572.57GA22.04EGA2.522.64SV%92%92.3%Power PlayGF9.124.54EGF8.787.65GA0.560.65EGA0.780.92SV%92.9%91.4%VANBOSWinnerH. SedinD.

Western Final

2011-05-23T13:41:00.000-07:00

VAN S.J#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:33.689.521.991.7Game 2:73.588.532.680.0Game 3:33.693.145.891.7Game 4:41.493.823.271.4Series [3-1]1712.191.91113.586.0VANS.JWinnerEven StrengthGF2.712.5EGF2.572.87GA22.14EGA2.522.33SV%92%90.8%Power PlayGF11.237.2EGF8.6712.09GA0.310.92EGA0.590.69SV%92.9%89.3%VANS.JWinnerH. SedinR. CloweD. SedinP. MarleauR. KeslerD. HeatleyM. SamuelssonJ. ThorntonA.

Eastern Final

2011-05-22T19:55:00.000-07:00

BOS T.B#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:22.389.553.891.3Game 2:63.787.854.183.8Game 3:22.010002.090.0Game 4:31.785.252.782.4Series [2-2]139.789.71512.686.6 BOST.BWinnerEven StrengthGF2.82.58EGF2.572.67GA2.042.58EGA2.642.06SV%92.3%87.5%Power PlayGF5.077.49EGF5.858.18GA0.233.85EGA0.721.26SV%91.4%89.7%BOST.BWinnerD. KrejciM. St louisM. LucicS. StamkosN. HortonV. LecavalierP. BergeronS.

Philadelphia vs. Boston

2011-05-06T06:12:00.000-07:00

PHI BOS#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:34.382.173.993.0Game 2:25.192.734.196.1Game 3:11.980.052.594.7Series [0-3]611.385.71510.594.7 PHIBOSWinnerEven StrengthGF2.932.8EGF2.892.57GA2.392.04EGA2.62.64SV%90.8%92.3%Power PlayGF5.865.52EGF8.076.84GA1.31.44EGA0.831.36SV%90.4%91.4%PHIBOSWinnerD. BriereD. KrejciJ. CarterM. LucicC. GirouxN. HortonM. RichardsP. BergeronS. HartnellR. PeverleyV.

Round 2: Detroit vs. San Jose

2011-05-06T06:11:00.000-07:00

S.J DET#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:24.295.512.295.2Game 2:23.497.013.394.1Game 3:43.192.534.087.1Series [3-0]810.794.759.592.5 S.JDETWinnerEven StrengthGF2.52.77EGF2.872.78GA2.142.65EGA2.332.49SV%90.8%89.4%Power PlayGF9.079.99EGF11.629.2GA0.821.04EGA0.730.79SV%89.3%90.8%S.JDETWinnerR. CloweH. ZetterbergP. MarleauP. DatsyukD. HeatleyJ. FranzenJ. ThorntonT. BertuzziL. CoutureV.

Round 2: Vancouver vs. Nashville

2011-05-06T06:10:00.000-07:00

VAN NSH#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:12.210001.595.5Game 2:13.495.224.297.1Game 3:33.992.622.792.3Game 4:42.490.922.287.5Series [3-1]911.994.3610.693.3 VANNSHWinnerEven StrengthGF2.712.45EGF2.572.42GA22.18EGA2.522.5SV%92%91.3%Power PlayGF7.734.43EGF8.097.73GA0.240.27EGA0.60.56SV%92.9%92.1%VANNSHWinnerH. SedinM. FisherD. SedinD. LegwandR. KeslerM. EratM. SamuelssonJ. WardA. BurrowsP.

Washington vs. Tampa Bay

2011-05-06T06:09:00.000-07:00

WSH T.B#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:23.091.743.693.3Game 2:23.685.732.194.4Game 3:32.784.042.588.9Game 4:32.484.453.287.5Series [0-4]1011.786.81611.491.5 WSHT.BWinnerEven StrengthGF2.462.58EGF2.652.67GA2.122.58EGA2.272.06SV%90.6%87.5%Power PlayGF5.636.02EGF7.716.91GA0.242.11EGA0.591.01SV%91.8%89.7%WSHT.BWinnerA. OvechkinM. St louisN. BackstromS. StamkosM. KnubleV. LecavalierJ.

Philadelphia vs. Buffalo

2011-04-25T06:27:00.000-07:00

PHI BUF#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:03.294.411.8100Game 2:53.886.242.986.8Game 3:42.295.024.086.4Game 4:02.996.612.9100Game 5:34.987.143.193.9Game 6:54.687.543.289.1Series [3-3]1721.691.11617.992.6 PHIBUFWinnerEven StrengthGF2.932.74EGF2.892.91GA2.392.45EGA2.62.36SV%90.8%89.6%Power PlayGF5.927.08EGF7.478.69GA0.223.74EGA0.491.17SV%90.4%90.6%PHIBUFWinnerD. BriereB. BoyesJ. CarterT.

Vancouver vs. Chicago

2011-04-25T06:25:00.000-07:00

VAN CHI#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:22.710002.692.6Game 2:42.488.032.583.3Game 3:32.292.922.886.4Game 4:22.278.873.390.9Game 5:02.475.052.0100Game 6:32.587.543.288.0Series [3-3]1414.487.22116.490.3What's happened to the Canucks goaltending? VANCHIWinnerEven StrengthGF2.712.65EGF2.572.55GA22.38EGA2.522.39SV%92%90%Power PlayGF10.97.04EGF8.618.05GA0.320.54EGA0.60.89SV%92.9%89.5%GAME 1: @

Nashville vs. Anaheim

2011-04-25T06:24:00.000-07:00

ANA NSH#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:13.287.543.296.9Game 2:53.392.734.187.9Game 3:31.890.544.283.3Game 4:64.985.732.187.8Game 5:32.488.243.487.5Game 6:22.592.343.992.0Series [2-4]2018.190.02220.989.5 NSHANAWinnerEven StrengthGF2.452.4EGF2.422.38GA2.182.52EGA2.52.81SV%91.3%91%Power PlayGF5.887.45EGF8.239.68GA0.330.88EGA0.480.7SV%92.1%91.2%NSHANAWinnerM. FisherR. GetzlafD. LegwandC.

New York Rangers vs. Washington

2011-04-24T06:46:00.000-07:00

WSH NYR#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:23.295.212.193.8Game 2:21.510001.986.7Game 3:22.391.433.591.3Game 4:45.591.433.592.7Game 5:33.095.812.490.0Series [4-1]1315.594.0813.491.6 WSHNYRWinnerEven StrengthGF2.52.42EGF2.652.68GA2.142.19EGA2.272.5SV%90.6%91.2%Power PlayGF5.774.83EGF8.796.93GA1.530.73EGA0.920.75SV%91.8%90.8%WSHNYRWinnerA. OvechkinB. DubinskyN. BackstromM. GaborikM. KnubleR.

Tampa Bay vs. Pittsburgh

2011-04-24T06:45:00.000-07:00

PIT T.B#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:33.210003.393.8Game 2:12.680.052.096.2Game 3:32.392.322.687.0Game 4:33.490.022.091.2Game 5:23.079.583.993.3Series [3-2]1214.588.41713.892.4 PITT.BWinnerEven StrengthGF2.462.53EGF2.442.68GA2.222.63EGA2.322.05SV%90.4%87.2%Power PlayGF5.165.96EGF4.796.42GA0.133.75EGA0.540.98SV%91.3%89.2%PITT.BWinnerJ. StaalM. St louisP. DupuisS. StamkosC. KunitzV.

San Jose vs. Los Angeles

2011-04-24T06:43:00.000-07:00

S.J L.A#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:34.192.322.692.7Game 2:02.378.941.9100Game 3:62.872.251.878.6Game 4:63.190.933.380.6Game 5:16.085.732.198.3Series [3-2]1618.385.51711.791.3 S.JL.AWinnerEven StrengthGF2.52.37EGF2.872.29GA2.142.21EGA2.332.15SV%90.8%89.7%Power PlayGF7.586.81EGF10.76.43GA0.710.86EGA0.450.44SV%89.3%91.6%S.JL.AWinnerR. CloweD. BrownP. MarleauR. SmythD. HeatleyD. PennerJ

Boston vs. Montreal

2011-04-24T06:42:00.000-07:00

It's amazing how often this matchup happens! BOS MTL#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:02.384.621.3100Game 2:12.788.532.696.3Game 3:42.392.322.687.0Game 4:53.287.943.384.4Game 5:24.696.813.195.7Series [3-2]1215.190.71212.992.7Currently watching overtime in game 5 - Carey Price's performance reminded me of this article I wrote last year. Anyone want Halak now? BOSMTLWinnerEven

Detroit vs. Pheonix

2011-04-21T07:50:00.000-07:00

DET PHX#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:43.990.522.189.7Game 2:42.990.933.386.2Game 3:42.890.922.285.7Game 4:63.384.231.984.8Series [4-0]1812.989.5109.586.8 DETPHXWinnerEven StrengthGF2.772.6EGF2.782.29GA2.652.23EGA2.492.58SV%89.4%91.3%Power PlayGF10.555.85EGF10.526.53GA0.80.67EGA0.520.77SV%90.8%90.1%DETPHXWinnerH. ZetterbergS. DoanP. DatsyukM. HanzalJ. FranzenE. BelangerT. BertuzziR.

Hockey Numbers Update

2011-04-20T08:25:00.001-07:00

I've created mini series summaries. To the right you will see my series summary (just a little smaller than normal). You can get a general overview of series by looking at those images. To get the detailed summary, just click on the image.

Playoff Matchups

2011-04-10T20:12:00.000-07:00

I hadn't updated my code for the new SOW tie breaker system before today. So this should be correct now. .table1 {font-family: Verdana; font-size:10} vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% And it's all over! - Now

New Jersey finally eliminated...

2011-04-03T07:21:00.000-07:00

This was an interesting finale to what was a terrible year for New Jersey. You wonder why they even tried to make the playoffs. Not only did they blow the season, they will also end up around 24th place, which wont even get them a great first round pick.This is the first time they have missed the playoffs since 1995-1996

Canucks poor record

2011-04-01T17:50:00.000-07:00

As always, I compile the record of the playoff bound teams vs. each other. This gives a more even sampling of performance, because some teams get to play bad teams more often than others. The Canucks have been blessed with six games vs. a division with only one playoff bound team.So here's the short summary:Canucks are 14 - 13 (3 - 7 in OT) vs. current playoff bound teams (Stars and Hurricanes

Gregory Campbell & Referees

2010-11-17T20:22:00.000-08:00

After reading a little bit about the mess Colin Campbell put himself in. I couldn't help but wonder a few things: - Did Dean Warren know Colin was out to get him when he refereed Campbell's son's game? - How many other times has Colin asked Stephen to discuss a call about his son with the referee who called it? - Do the referees think that these calls could impact their employment/advancement?-

New Jersey

2010-11-02T08:07:00.000-07:00

Updated Prediction ModelI've done quite a bit of work on my prediction algorithm's and I am extremely happy with the results: With less than dozen games per team so far, I have a pretty good idea of the probabilities of a team making the playoffs. Although my model is designed to predict individual games and not outcomes over the course of a season it seems to do a reasonable job at doing so

Kovalchuk Mess 2

2010-10-12T08:51:00.000-07:00

I don't understand why New Jersey desperately wanted Kovalchuk so bad, but it looks like their benefits may be offset by cap issues caused by Kovalchuk.For those who don't know:...the Devils iced a roster of 15 skaters and two goaltenders in a 3-1 loss to Pittsburgh [Monday October 11], many are wondering if the NHL should step in and slap the team for violating the CBA; if what the Devils did

Diving Update

2010-10-12T08:40:00.000-07:00

As per a request in a comment I am posting an update re: diving. My original post can be found here. - The Y-axis is the number of diving calls in the previous 100 games - ordered by game #- The X-axis is the "season" year using the year of the last game (so we're in the NHL season 2011 right now) - The first dot represents # of diving calls in the 2007-2008 season between games 0 & 100.The graph

Clark vs. Perron

2010-07-21T20:27:00.000-07:00

When I saw the story about MacArthur my first question was: who? I try to keep on top of all major NHL contributors and that one I had never heard of. So the obvious next question was: why on earth is a no name NHL contributor get $2.4 million from an arbitrator? Then came a story shortly after Perron signed for $2.15M, which is a name I certainly do know.MacArthur (25):G: 16A: 19Salary:

Kovalchuk Mess

2010-07-20T19:36:00.000-07:00

New Jersey finally pushed the CBA rule makers to their limits. By signing a contract that is almost guaranteed to not be completed the NHL did the right thing to step in and say no.Of course that made people ask the simple question:Why now?The answer to this is probably that Kovalchuk's contract is well over the 40 mark, a point where very few players continue to play (especially snipers who

Northwest Expecations - 2010

2010-07-14T08:36:00.002-07:00

I'm still tweaking these, but this is a start. I've adjusted my technique. I've pulled 5 years worth of data to generate these tables. The "young" player problem still exists (because I lack data to differentiate between a good 19 year old or a average 19 year old).Notation:Name [GFScore@EV, GAScore@EV]I've separated out PP & PK now. However these values are based on the player's past performance

Central Expectations - 2010

2010-07-14T08:36:00.001-07:00

Pacific Expectations - 2010

2010-07-14T08:35:00.002-07:00

Atlantic Expectations - 2010

2010-07-14T08:35:00.001-07:00

Northeast Expectations - 2010

2010-07-14T08:34:00.001-07:00

Southeast Expecations - 2010

2010-07-14T08:27:00.000-07:00

Goalie Statistics for 5 years

2010-06-25T13:08:00.000-07:00

So, here is a compilation of all the saves/goals/shots etc. each goalie faced over the last 5 years (inc. playoffs). I may be missing some games, but there is a lot of data here. The "Cred" column is just adjusting the shot quality neutral save percentage based on number of shots faced (regressing to the mean).EG = Expected GoalsG = Actual GoalsSQN = shot quality neutral save percentage =

Stanley Cup Final

2010-06-08T09:08:00.000-07:00

CHIPHI#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:63.283.953.181.3Game 2:22.396.412.891.3Game 3:33.089.743.990.0Game 4:33.786.252.991.9Game 5:72.784.642.677.8Series [3-2]2114.988.21915.386.6Philadelphia is doing a lot better than I would have anticipated. If it wasn't for the difference in goaltending this series could easily be tied (or have gone the other way).CHIPHIWinnerEven

Eastern Final

2010-05-31T22:48:00.000-07:00

PHIMTL#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:63.210002.981.3Game 2:32.710003.288.9Game 3:11.988.154.294.7Game 4:33.010002.093.3Game 5:43.191.322.390.3Series [4-1]1713.995.2714.689.2PHIMTLWinnerEven StrengthGF2.442.2EGF2.782.28GA2.432.32EGA2.532.62SV%90.4%91.2%Power PlayGF7.718.03EGF8.68.01GA0.641.1EGA0.691.14SV%89.6%91%

Western Final

2010-05-24T10:50:00.000-07:00

S.JCHI#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:14.591.722.497.8Game 2:22.776.541.792.6Game 3:24.588.532.695.6Game 4:21.485.042.085.7Series [0-4]713.186.2138.794.7S.JCHIWinnerEven StrengthGF2.792.9EGF2.712.83GA2.292.35EGA2.562.19SV%91.1%89.2%Power PlayGF6.615.8EGF9.378.47GA2.830.68EGA1.220.55SV%92.9%92.3%

VAN vs. CHI

2010-05-12T06:26:00.000-07:00

CHI VAN#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:13.985.353.497.4Game 2:42.592.322.688.0Game 3:54.593.122.988.9Game 4:73.484.642.682.4Game 5:12.989.342.896.6Game 6:53.095.512.283.3Series [4-2]2320.289.71816.589.6Who would've predicted that goaltending would kill the Canucks - although their defense was hurting.

BOS vs. PHI

2010-05-11T18:41:00.001-07:00

BOSPHI#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:54.290.044.088.1Game 2:32.392.922.887.0Game 3:41.797.514.082.4Game 4:43.583.353.088.6Game 5:02.187.543.2100Series [3-2]1613.890.61617.089.1Leighton had a good first series, but his performance dropped a lot since then. Boston should be able to pull this one out.

S.J vs. DET

2010-05-11T18:39:00.000-07:00

S.JDET#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:42.386.432.282.6Game 2:44.690.633.291.3Game 3:42.387.532.482.6Game 4:12.184.474.595.2Game 5:23.396.312.793.9Series [4-1]1514.688.71715.089.7It's amazing that the final GF/GA are quite close despite the 4-1 win by S.J. They'll have to play better to beat CHI/VAN.

PIT vs. MTL

2010-05-11T18:38:00.000-07:00

PITMTL#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:61.988.532.673.7Game 2:13.580.031.597.1Game 3:22.110001.595.2Game 4:23.383.331.893.9Game 5:22.097.313.790.0Game 6:32.780.042.088.9Series [3-3]1615.589.31413.191.0

PIT vs. OTT

2010-05-11T18:36:00.000-07:00

PITOTT#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:41.576.252.173.3Game 2:22.890.911.192.9Game 3:41.988.221.778.9Game 4:74.185.242.782.9Game 5:35.289.243.794.2Game 6:43.688.532.688.9Series [4-2]2419.186.31913.987.4Did anyone seriously pick Ottawa to win this. Pittsburgh one this pretty easily. (Only losses were 1 goal losses).PITOTTWinnerEven StrengthGF2.862.49EGF2.632.56GA2.692.7EGA2.392.35SV%88.8%88.5%Power

BUF vs. BOS

2010-05-11T18:35:00.000-07:00

BUFBOS#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:22.997.013.393.1Game 2:32.682.652.388.5Game 3:12.191.722.495.2Game 4:22.993.934.993.1Game 5:43.496.212.691.2Game 6:32.986.743.089.7Series [2-4]1516.891.91618.591.7Nice even series. Boston's offense outperformed my expectations.BUFBOSWinnerEven StrengthGF2.62.1EGF2.712.56GA2.42.18EGA2.542.35SV%90.6%90.7%Power PlayGF4.924.73EGF96.87GA0.470.4EGA2.020.67SV%92.6%93.7%Series

N.J vs. PHI

2010-05-11T18:34:00.000-07:00

N.JPHI#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:12.483.321.295.8Game 2:53.290.033.087.5Game 3:21.991.933.789.5Game 4:13.184.642.696.8Game 5:02.987.032.3100Series [1-4]913.588.31512.894.1Boy do I look silly on this one (read below). However, how many people would pick Broduer to have a 0.88 save percentage or that Leighton would have a break out season/playoffs.N.JPHIWinnerEven

WSH vs. MTL

2010-05-11T18:30:00.000-07:00

WSHMTL#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:25.391.233.496.2Game 2:63.576.252.182.9Game 3:53.895.812.486.8Game 4:63.491.733.688.2Game 5:13.591.322.397.1Game 6:15.182.441.798.0Game 7:14.386.721.597.7Series [3-4]2228.988.82017.093.1This was the most surprising series for me. But Halak has been amazing. Three one goal games to win the series.WSHMTLWinnerEven StrengthGF3.452.2EGF2.632.28GA2.272.32EGA2.542.62SV%91.1%

PHX vs. DET

2010-05-11T18:29:00.000-07:00

PHXDET#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:33.693.122.991.7Game 2:42.880.073.085.7Game 3:42.692.922.884.6Game 4:02.388.932.7100Game 5:12.788.542.696.3Game 6:52.593.122.980.0Game 7:12.989.365.696.6Series [3-4]1819.489.32622.590.7PHXDETWinnerEven StrengthGF2.462.31EGF2.522.67GA2.112.39EGA2.312.45SV%90.9%90.3%Power PlayGF4.686.33EGF5.828.42GA1.080.18EGA0.840.69SV%91.8%90.9%Series SummaryI like to think of this series

VAN vs. L.A

2010-05-11T18:28:00.000-07:00

VANL.A#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:34.292.022.592.9Game 2:22.691.233.492.3Game 3:32.479.252.487.5Game 4:62.484.642.679.2Game 5:73.191.322.377.4Game 6:41.890.922.283.3Series [4-2]2516.588.31815.486.1This series was a lot closer than it should have been due to poor goaltending on Vancouver's part.VANL.AWinnerEven StrengthGF2.932.44EGF2.672.45GA2.352.17EGA2.492.22SV%90.6%90.2%Power

CHI vs. NSH

2010-05-11T18:27:00.000-07:00

CHINSH#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:12.990.542.196.6Game 2:22.610001.992.3Game 3:12.087.943.395.0Game 4:34.010002.692.5Game 5:53.178.941.983.9Game 6:53.487.032.388.2Series [4-2]1718.090.81514.191.1Nashville did much better than I expected...CHINSHWinnerEven StrengthGF2.92.39EGF2.832.51GA2.352.29EGA2.192.53SV%89.2%91%Power PlayGF9.285.16EGF8.297.49GA0.561.96EGA0.60.92SV%92.3%88.3%Series SummaryVery few

S.J vs. COL

2010-05-11T18:26:00.000-07:00

S.JCOL#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:12.592.922.896.0Game 2:66.980.852.691.3Game 3:04.892.911.4100Game 4:23.296.312.793.8Game 5:54.610003.089.1Game 6:52.988.221.789.7Series [4-2]1924.992.31114.293.2No contest...S.JCOLWinnerEven StrengthGF2.792.6EGF2.712.46GA2.292.4EGA2.562.67SV%91.1%91%Power PlayGF9.045.87EGF10.299.42GA1.551.41EGA0.630.74SV%92.9%90.4%Series SummaryIf it wasn't for Colorado's amazing start

Stanley Cup and Division Leaders

2010-04-13T19:26:00.000-07:00

The Stanley Cup has been won by division winners far more frequently than not. In fact only 3x in the past 15 years has a non-division winner won it. Also, the only other winner of the cup has been the 4th seeded team - with exception of New Jersey (5) in the shortened 1994-1995 season. Of course it isn't too surprising that good teams do well in the playoffs. I just find it a little interesting

2010 Playoff Matchup Odds

2010-04-11T18:43:00.000-07:00

.table1 {font-family: Verdana; font-size:10} vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100% vs.100%

Head Shots

2010-03-10T17:04:00.000-08:00

I wrote a few years ago about diving & player's incentives.It appears like it would be a good idea to branch these concepts out the hits to the head.Many people were calling for a suspension after Cooke's hit on Savard. It all happens so fast, so it's hard to tell if Cooke was trying to hit his head or hit his shoulder and missed. I doubt Cooke wanted to concuss Savard. Even if they suspended

Playoff Races

2010-03-05T18:53:00.000-08:00

It looks there will be a decent race in both conferences this year, which is always nice. I've generated a graphical table that summarizes the important statistics in these races. These tables should automatically update on a regular basis (every 3 days or so) as I update my database.Pts = Points; PO? = Playoff probability; GB = Games Back from 8th;BH = Back-2-Back Road gamesBA = Games vs. a team

Price vs. Halak

2010-01-27T20:57:00.000-08:00

Two years ago, in response to an e-mail from someone at Faceoff-Factor about M-A Fleury's poor start, I stated that:There are very few 19-22 year old goal tenders (or players for that matter). For the most part players hit a sort of peak at the age of 24 (players still get better each year until 30, but at a much slower rate). Most young goalies cannot compete with the back-ups that are

Shots - Home vs. Away

2009-12-03T18:16:00.000-08:00

Back in March Jilken's posted an article on "shot recording bias" for the home team. It an interesting concept. Jilken's most convincing evidence was a excel table that showed bias patterns highlighted in yellow. The table didn't give me any perspective as there were no indication of what one should expect the table to look like in a perfectly random environment. I ended up ignoring it for the

Popular Predictions

2009-09-29T17:11:00.000-07:00

I quickly copied all the Polls on Mirtle's site: From the Rink. And used the information to generate a simple prediction. How I got the Pts column is I took an average points for each position and multiplied by the percentage of votes for that position. So for example over the past few years the team in 8th position in the standings has average 92 points. So every 8th place vote gets 92 points.

Heatley

2009-08-21T19:59:00.000-07:00

"This is a straight hockey decision. I have nothing against the fans of Ottawa, or the city of Ottawa. I would like the opportunity to go somewhere where I can play to the best of my capabilities and be the player that I can be." [Heatley]I found the story about Heatley just a little bit troubling. As you are likely aware, several months ago Heatley requested to be traded. Slightly ironically he

Southeast Expecations - 2009

2009-07-17T07:03:00.002-07:00

I tried these little tables last season with a little success (and some failures). That being said, I think these tables give a good impression (even if you don't like how the numbers line up) of what each team will look like. I've color coded this year: red = 10% below average for that category. Green = 10% above average for that category. I've excluded PK, Goaltending though. The little

Northeast Expectations - 2009

2009-07-17T07:03:00.001-07:00

Atlantic Expectations - 2009

2009-07-17T07:02:00.002-07:00

Pacific Expectations - 2009

2009-07-17T07:02:00.001-07:00

Northwest Expectations - 2009

2009-07-17T07:01:00.002-07:00

Central Expectations - 2009

2009-07-17T07:01:00.001-07:00

My Free Agent List.

2009-06-29T19:07:00.001-07:00

Here...

Top Pair of Forward - Contracts

2009-06-26T17:59:00.001-07:00

I was wondering what teams generally pay for their top pairing forwards: the forwards who have the highest number of points per game, so I quickly made a table. The reason I was wondering is to see what sort of contract the Sedin's should qualify for as a pair as opposed to being two individuals. What it looks like is teams generally pay about $5 million per point/gp, so the Sedin pair average

Long Term SPC

2009-06-26T07:16:00.001-07:00

Atlanta ThrashersGFGAIlya Kovalchuk [0.95]Vyacheslav Kozlov [0.62]Todd White [0.52]6946Colby Armstrong [0.49]Jason Williams [0.47]Robert Holik [0.41]4538Eric Perrin [0.40]Erik Christensen [0.39]Marty Reasoner [0.35]3721Bryan Little [0.28]Jim Slater [0.21]Chris Thorburn [0.17]2216Tobias Enstrom [0.39]Ron Hainsey [0.31]2329Niclas Havelid [0.23]Ken Klee [0.14]1227Garnet

Northeast Expectations

2008-08-08T21:02:00.000-07:00

Boston BruinsGFGAMarc Savard [0.84]Michael Ryder [0.60]Marco Sturm [0.51]6441Peter Schaefer [0.43]Phil Kessel [0.43]David Krejci [0.42]4230Chuck Kobasew [0.32]Per johan Axelsson [0.32]Milan Lucic [0.31]3119Petteri Nokelainen [0.14]Vladimir Sobotka [0.12]Jeremy Reich [0.03]1011Zdeno Chara [0.36]Dennis Wideman [0.34]2328Andrew Ference [0.24]Matt Lashoff [0.16]1327Aaron Ward [

Atlantic Expectations

2008-08-08T21:01:00.000-07:00

New Jersey DevilsGFGAPatrik Elias [0.82]Zach Parise [0.61]Brian Gionta [0.60]6736Jamie Langenbrunner [0.57]Brian Rolston [0.55]Dainius Zubrus [0.48]5231Travis Zajac [0.41]John Madden [0.36]Jay Pandolfo [0.27]3418David Clarkson [0.22]Michael Rupp [0.15]Rodney Pelley [0.05]1412Paul Martin [0.36]John Oduya [0.20]1827Mike Mottau [0.16]Andrew Greene [0.15]1023Colin (john)

Central Expectations

2008-08-08T21:00:00.000-07:00

St. Louis BluesGFGAPaul Kariya [0.99]Keith Tkachuk [0.80]Andy Mcdonald [0.63]7938Lee Stempniak [0.48]David Perron [0.39]Dan Hinote [0.17]3428Dwayne King [0.06]Cam Janssen [0.01]??? [~0.0.08]520??? [~0.0.08]??? [~0.0.08]??? [~0.0.08]816Erik Johnson [0.43]Eric Brewer [0.28]2329Steve Wagner [0.22]Barret Jackman [0.21]1423Jay Mckee [0.15]??? [~0.05]716PK: 56Legace: -6Mason:

Pacific Expectations

2008-08-08T20:59:00.000-07:00

San Jose SharksGFGAJoe Thornton [0.94]Patrick Marleau [0.65]Jeremy Roenick [0.65]7329Jonathan Cheechoo [0.65]Milan Michalek [0.58]Joe Pavelski [0.47]5623Ryane Clowe [0.44]Michael Grier [0.35]Devin Setoguchi [0.30]3615Torrey Mitchell [0.19]Marcel Goc [0.18]Jody Shelley [0.07]1411Dan Boyle [0.52]Robert Blake [0.44]3134Christian Ehrhoff [0.32]Kyle Mclaren [0.26]

Northwest Expectations

2008-08-08T20:58:00.000-07:00

Last year I designed really complicated tables to try and calculate which teams would be successful. I tried to simplify things this year. I used 1 simple source for the data: HockeyDB. All I do is add up all the points per game (in their career) and multiply by the number of games per season and then divide by the number of points per goal (~2.7). There are a few minor adjustments for games

2008-2009 Schedule

2008-07-20T10:19:00.000-07:00

TeamDistance (Km)San Jose Sharks90,489Calgary Flames85,910Dallas Stars82,975Phoenix Coyotes82,684Vancouver Canucks82,387Edmonton Oilers80,496Anaheim Ducks77,714Colorado Avalanche77,121Florida Panthers73,638Los Angeles Kings73,348Minnesota Wild70,964Tampa Bay Lightning69,059Atlanta Thrashers68,316Columbus Blue Jackets68,222Nashville Predators66,700St. Louis Blues66,589Detroit Red

Stanley Cup Final

2008-05-28T22:36:00.000-07:00

DETPIT#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:42.410001.083.7Game 2:33.710001.292.1Game 3:22.093.234.390.2Series [2-1]98.195.536.589.1It takes more than good goaltending to win the Stanley Cup. In fact one might say it takes everything except goaltending. Detroit has gotten where they are with great team defense and great offense. Pittsburgh will need a lot of luck and hard work to win this series. Also, keep in

Stars vs. Wings

2008-05-20T18:14:00.000-07:00

DETDAL#GEGS%GEGSV%Game 1:42.786.010.785.5Game 2:23.086.010.793.5Game 3:53.186.921.584.2Game 4:12.386.632.295.7Game 5:11.891.522.394.6Game 6:43.093.011.486.9Series [4-2]1715.988.9108.889.5Can Dallas shut down Detroit? As you can see from the table below and the percentages on table here, it will be a difficult series for Dallas to win. They'll need a lot of luck and a lot of hard work. Detroit

Pens vs. Flyers

2008-05-20T18:12:00.000-07:00

PIT PHI#GEGS% GEGSV%Game 1:42.889.121.886.0Game 2:45.189.121.894.2Game 3:44.586.010.793.5Game 4:22.294.745.591.1Game 5:62.610001.177.4Series [4-1]2017.292.8910.989.7A well matched series. The only advantage Pittsburgh is seeing for the series is home ice advantage. Pittsburgh is more responsible defensively than Philadelphia. And the Flyers have a marginally better special teams compared to