tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post4148277215365540939..comments2023-05-06T08:59:13.282-07:00Comments on Hockey Numbers: Western Domination of the Eastern Conference.JavaGeekhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02529258432033746879noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-49163874594002948072008-03-04T12:39:00.000-08:002008-03-04T12:39:00.000-08:00I'm assuming you are considering just Champions Le...I'm assuming you are considering just Champions Leagues. Since '98 La Liga placed six teams in the final to Serie A's 5 with Spain winning four to Italy's 2- including that Real/Juve final you allude to. Although, Juve eliminated Real on two other occasions in the knock out phase. <BR/><BR/>No doubt I used an "alltime" or overall aspect for what is acknowledged major tourneys: Champions, UEFA, T.C.https://www.blogger.com/profile/10275996524128634117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-35898726069126911442008-03-02T08:54:00.000-08:002008-03-02T08:54:00.000-08:00And if you go back 8 years instead of 5, Spain has...And if you go back 8 years instead of 5, Spain has won more championships and made it to the final more often (5 vs. 4). Go back 9 and Italy and England tie for second behind Spain. And one more year back and Spain defeats Italy in the final!<BR/><BR/>Also, try flipping a coin five times. Now what side occurred more often? should I now conclude that that side is more likely to occur than JavaGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02529258432033746879noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-78011998611326649752008-03-02T07:31:00.000-08:002008-03-02T07:31:00.000-08:00Thanks.Yes, what you posted is true but hey sports...Thanks.<BR/><BR/>Yes, what you posted is true but hey sports are so fluid right? I use a similar table for Champions League soccer. Soccer employs a two-leg system. The aggregate score of both determines who wins. However, it is possible to win (thanks to the concept of away goals) by splitting the series. <BR/><BR/>Just another stat in the on-going debate as to which league dominates soccer. <BRT.C.https://www.blogger.com/profile/10275996524128634117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-76399201378106053482008-02-24T07:59:00.000-08:002008-02-24T07:59:00.000-08:00RE: the commentator Playoff domination by westRE: the commentator<BR/><BR/><A HREF="http://hockeynumbers.blogspot.com/2007/05/western-domination.html" REL="nofollow"> Playoff domination by west</A>JavaGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02529258432033746879noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-57602085933196812942008-02-24T07:36:00.000-08:002008-02-24T07:36:00.000-08:00I meant to say "one league OR conference." Sorry.I meant to say "one league OR conference." Sorry.T.C.https://www.blogger.com/profile/10275996524128634117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-77405409299813329202008-02-24T07:35:00.000-08:002008-02-24T07:35:00.000-08:00Yet, since 1999-2000, the East holds a slight edge...Yet, since 1999-2000, the East holds a slight edge with four Stanley Cup champions while the West has won three times.<BR/><BR/>It reminds me of MLB and the NFL. One league of conference dominates the regular season but in post season play it tends to equalize. Anyone remember the St. Louis Cardinals a couple of years back? 83 lousy wins and they knocked out the Detroit Tigers. <BR/><BR/>More T.C.https://www.blogger.com/profile/10275996524128634117noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-13443106108039876052008-02-21T15:32:00.000-08:002008-02-21T15:32:00.000-08:00Interesting post.The West has been the superior co...Interesting post.<BR/><BR/>The West has been the superior conference for quite some time -- the West has had the better interconference record every year since 1999-00, and the difference has been large every year except in 2003-04, where the West was 119-118-(x number of ties) aagainst the East. The East was the better conference from 1993-94 until 1998-99, save for 1997-98, a year when the WestAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-30682191424917510992008-02-20T19:23:00.000-08:002008-02-20T19:23:00.000-08:00Over/Under performing: Standard variation (one st...Over/Under performing: Standard variation (one standard deviation) is equal to the square root of shots faced multiplied by 0.09. This is the natural variation one should see in the data. Expected goals should not equal actual goals all the time. Detroit has taken 2129 shots, so their standard deviation is sqrt(2129*0.09) = 13.8. They’re actually a +37 off expected right now, so that’s aboutJavaGeekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02529258432033746879noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-56238969974863557742008-02-20T18:46:00.000-08:002008-02-20T18:46:00.000-08:00Oh also, to add to my last comment, there's one ot...Oh also, to add to my last comment, there's one other thing I forgot to mention...<BR/><BR/>Another possible factor in a team under- or over-performing its expected goals is goaltenders faced.<BR/><BR/>I'm not sure how significant that is though. <BR/><BR/>But in the Atlantic Division (the division with the best goaltending), four out of the five teams have underperformed their ExG so far this Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31600912.post-80799440044049172952008-02-20T15:02:00.000-08:002008-02-20T15:02:00.000-08:00Interesting post. I love that you use Expected Goa...Interesting post. I love that you use Expected Goals a lot in your posts and on your website. I think it's the way of the future.<BR/><BR/>Having said that, expected goals is so heavily dependent on the shot quality model, that it's crucial to keep trying to perfect it imo.<BR/><BR/>It would be cool if you did a blog post on exactly how your shot quality model works.<BR/><BR/>I see certain teams Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com