September 29, 2009

Popular Predictions

I quickly copied all the Polls on Mirtle's site: From the Rink. And used the information to generate a simple prediction. How I got the Pts column is I took an average points for each position and multiplied by the percentage of votes for that position. So for example over the past few years the team in 8th position in the standings has average 92 points. So every 8th place vote gets 92 points. So first place votes (116 points) are worth a lot more than second place votes (110 points). It doesn't make a huge difference if you vote 7th (93.5 points) or 6th (94.5 points) as those positions are quite similar. I threw out votes for 15th or 1st depending on the team's average standings.